A revocation to this notice was published on 31 May 2024, Notice No. 2024-go2476.

Notice Title

National Statement on the Network of Licensed Early Childhood Services

Publication Date
24 Nov 2022

Tags

Statements Education Education and Training Act

Notice Number

2022-go5057
Title
View PDF
File Type and Size
PDF (126 KB)

Commencement Date: 1 February 2023

Introduction

1. A high-quality network of licensed early childhood services is key to achieving an early learning system that enables every child to achieve their full potential and that supports their identity, language and culture, and is valued by parents and whānau.

2. Network management of licensed early childhood services is a regulatory function that supports this goal by helping to ensure that all children have access to quality early learning settings and prevent the unintended consequences of oversupply in specific areas.

Purpose

3. Any person intending to operate a new licensed education service (which is not an excluded service) must apply for approval from the Minister of Education under section 17 of the Education and Training Act 2020 before applying for a license.

4. This Statement provides potential applicants for approval with information about the network of licensed early childhood services including:

  1. the Government’s strategic priorities for the establishment of licensed early childhood services;
  2. information about the supply, forecast growth, demand, and need for licensed early childhood services; and
  3. other information relevant to applications for approval, including about the approach the Minister intends to take to assessing that information in accordance with the statutory criteria.

Relevant Considerations

5. As described in section 17(2)(a-g) of the Education and Training Act 2020 the Minister in assessing applications for network approval must take into account:

  1. a high-level assessment of the relevant attributes of the area to be served, including (without limitation):
    1. the demography of the area;
    2. the needs of the communities in the area;
    3. the needs of the children in the area; and
    4. the availability of licensed early childhood services in the area with different offerings (for example, the provision of te reo Māori); and
  2. this Statement and any relevant Regional Statement;
  3. the suitability of the applicant and of every individual involved in the governance of the proposed service (which at a minimum requires the Minister to consider and determine whether each individual is a fit and proper person);
  4. the applicant’s financial position;
  5. the licensing history of the applicant and individuals involved in the governance of the proposed service;
  6. the applicant’s capability to effectively establish and provide the service to which the application relates; and
  7. any other matter that the Minister considers is relevant to the application.

Process

6. Key process information is outlined in the Education (Early Childhood Services Network Approval) Regulations 2022.

7. The Ministry of Education has made further information on the application process, including how to apply, available at https://www.education.govt.nz/early-childhood/running-a-service/starting-a-service/network-management.

Strategic Priorities for the Establishment of Licensed Early Childhood Services

8. These strategic priorities describe the types of service offerings that the Government considers to be a priority for ensuring availability within the network of licensed early childhood services.

9. Meeting a priority is not a prerequisite for receiving network approval. However, as set out below, the extent to which a proposed service will meet a priority will be considered when the Minister takes into account whether the service will meet a need in the area to be served, as well as other relevant information about supply, demand and need. If a proposed service will meet a priority, it will be considered more favourably in these assessments. For example if two similar services apply for network approval in the same area, the one that meets a priority to the greater extent is more likely to be approved.

Priority

Definition

Māori bilingual and immersion services

Services where te reo Māori is used at least 51% of the time as a medium of instruction.

Hapū/iwi-owned services

Services that are majority owned by hapū or iwi.

Services with a distinct Māori identity and culture

Services that have a distinct Māori identity and use Māori cultural practices and values that inform the service provision.

Pacific bilingual and immersion services

Services where a Pacific language is used at least 51% of the time as a medium of instruction.

Pacific language and/or cultural services

Services that have distinct Pacific identities, cultural practices, languages, and values that inform the service provision.

Language immersion services (non-English/Māori/Pacific)

Services where a language other than English, Māori or a Pacific language is used at least 51% of the time as a medium of instruction.

Services well-equipped for learning support needs

Services with a particular focus on providing services and support to children with a range of learning support needs.

Services well-equipped for migrants and former refugees

Services that are well-equipped for supporting children and communities with migrant and/or refugee backgrounds.

Services planned to operate on a new school site

Services that are planned to operate on a newly-built school site in growth areas or adjacent to growth areas.

Organisations funded by Targeted Assistance for Participation (TAP)

This is a transitional priority that covers any organisations that already have funding approved through TAP prior to network management commencing on 1 February 2023 as set out in the Bill.

Wrap around services

Early childhood services which are set up to facilitate access to other social services, including health and family support alongside early childhood education.


Assessment of the Relevant Attributes of the Area to be Served

Identifying the Area to be Served

10. Applicants are expected to identify and consider the area that the proposed service will serve, and the relevant attributes of that area.

11. For most types of early childhood education and care services, the area to be served will predominantly be the nearby geographic area (including the people living and working in that area). To enable demographic and other statistical information to be considered about the area, the starting point is that the nearby geographic area is the Statistical Area Unit 2 (SA2) in which the proposed service would be located and the adjoining SA2s.

12. For hospital-based services, the community to be served are the children under the age of 6 years who are receiving hospital care in the relevant hospital.

13. For home-based education and care services, the area to be served will not necessarily be the nearby geographic area but should be identified by the applicant.

14. Despite these starting points, the Minister may consider that a service is likely to serve a broader or more specific area, including an identifiable community within an area or areas, if there is information available that provides reasonable grounds to support that assessment.

High-level Assessment of Relevant Attributes

15. The Minister will take into account a high-level assessment of the relevant attributes of the area to be served, including the demography of the area, the needs of the communities in the area, the needs of the children in the area, and the availability of licensed early childhood services in the area with different offerings (for example, the provision of te reo Māori).

16. This assessment may take into account relevant information relating to supply, forecast growth, demand, and need for licensed early childhood services in the area to be served, as set out below.

17. The Minister may also take into account other information, including information supplied by the applicant, about the relevant attributes of the area.

Information About the Supply, Forecast Growth, Demand, and need for Licensed Early Childhood Services

Approach to Assessing Supply, Forecast Growth, Demand, and Need

18. Information about the supply, forecast growth, demand and need for licensed early childhood services is relevant to the Minister’s assessment under section 17(2)(a), (b) and (g) of the Act.

19. In assessing applications for approval, the Minister will consider the best available relevant information about the supply, forecast growth, demand, and need for services in the area to be served, as described below.

20. Based on that relevant information, the Minister will assess:

  1. whether the applicant has established that the proposed service will meet a need in the area to be served; and
  2. whether there are reasonable grounds to believe that granting approval:
    1. could lead to an oversupply of licensed early childhood services in the area to be served;
    2. could help address an undersupply of licensed early childhood services in the area to be served; or
    3. neither i. nor ii. apply.

21. The assessment of need referred to at 20(a) is distinct from the assessment of broader supply and demand factors referred to at 20(b), although there may be significant overlap between them. The assessment of need relates to whether the proposed service will meet an identified unmet need in the area to be served, whereas the broader assessment of supply and demand relates to the impact of the proposed service on the overall network of licensed early childhood services in that area.

22. More information is provided below about how these assessments will be undertaken and the information that will be taken into account. The intention is that this approach will be developed over time as more evidence becomes available, including insights generated from the network management function.

23. This assessment may affect the Minister’s decision in the following ways:

  1. An application is likely to be declined if the applicant has not established the service will meet a need and/or there are reasonable grounds to believe that granting approval could lead to oversupply in an area to be served.
  2. An application is more likely to be granted if the applicant has established that the proposed service will meet a need in the area to be served (particularly if the need reflects a strategic priority) and/or there are reasonable grounds to believe that granting approval could help address an undersupply of services in an area to be served.
  3. If the Minister does not consider there are reasonable grounds to believe that granting approval would either lead to oversupply or help address undersupply in an area, then that part of the assessment will not be determinative either way.

Relevant Information About Supply, Forecast Growth, Demand, and Need

24. Applicants are expected to identify the need the proposed service will meet and how the proposed service will meet that need, as well as assess the relevant available information about supply and demand in relation to the area to be served.

25. The following sections describe the national-level and regional-level information that will be relevant to the supply, forecast growth, demand, and need for licensed early childhood services.

26. The Ministry will maintain on its website a list of sources of relevant information that can be obtained specifically in relation to an area to be served. Information on new approvals relevant to an area to be served can be found at https://www.education.govt.nz/early-childhood/running-a-service/starting-a-service/network-management/approvals-and-revocations. Additional information on the network of licensed early childhood services can be found at https://www.education.govt.nz/early-childhood/running-a-service/starting-a-service/network-management.

27. The intention is that more information will be made available to assist potential applicants as the approach to network management is developed and more information becomes available (including as a result of verifying the applicability of current datasets and from insights generated from the network management function).

28. Initially, it is likely that more reliance will be placed on relevant information submitted by the applicant about local factors affecting need and demand than on the statistics set out below.

Standard Area-specific Information About Supply, Forecast Growth, Demand, and Need

29. In all cases the Minister is likely to consider the following information, accessible from the Ministry’s website.

  1. Standard information about supply and forecast supply of licensed services within the relevant area:
    1. Current licensed services in the area: including location, number of licensed places (2 and over, under 2 and total), enrolments, licensed opening hours, and service type;1 and
    2. Forecast licensed services in the area (being services that have received network approval and any proposed excluded services recognised by the Ministry as having reached an equivalent stage where that information is available 2): including location, forecast licensed places (2 and over, under 2 and total), forecast opening hours, and service type.
    3. This information will not initially include home-based education and care services, for which there is currently no area-specific information.
  2. Standard information about potential demand or need for services within the relevant area:
    1. Under 5 population projection for the area: including projected population under 5 resident in the relevant area and (where relevant) the population under 5 resident in the relevant area by ethnicity. The Statistics New Zealand mid-range projections for 2033 should be used.
    2. Number of people travelling to work in the area: where relevant, the number of people travelling to work to that area based on the most recent Census data published by Statistics New Zealand.
    3. Underlying zoning for the area: that is whether the area is predominantly residential, commercial, rural, or mixed in the relevant district plan.
  3. Standard comparison of information about supply and demand: which may include considering the following basic ratios for the relevant area:
    1. ratio between the projected population under 5 and the total combined number of current and forecast licensed places in the area;
    2. ratio between the projected population under 5 and the combined number of current and forecast licensed places in the area of the relevant service type; and
    3. ratio between licensed attendance and licenced places.

Other Area-specific Information That May be Relevant to Supply, Demand and Need

30. In a particular case, the Minister may also consider other information relevant to supply, demand and need for a service if such information is objective, verifiable based on evidence, provides a reasonable basis for comparison with other services, and provides a reasonable basis on which to assess the supply, demand or need for a service.

31. This information may be already held by the Ministry, supplied by the applicant, or gathered by the Minister during the application process.

32. The Minister will not necessarily take into account other information and may decide to disregard other information if there is already sufficient information on which to make a decision or the other information is not considered sufficiently reliable or relevant.

Additional Information and Assumptions About Demand and Need for Early Childhood Education Services

33. In assessing applications in respect of a particular area, the Minister may also take note of the following additional information and assumptions relating to demand or need:

  1. A proposed service that reflects a priority is likely to be considered to meet a need in the area to be served.
  2. The projected population of children under 5 resident in a nearby geographic area will likely impact the demand or need for services in that area. This is likely to be more relevant in predominately residential areas.
  3. The number of people travelling to work in a nearby geographic area will likely impact the demand or need for services in an area and may provide an indication about areas where demand is greater than what would be suggested by the resident under 5 population. This is likely to be more relevant in predominately non-residential areas.
  4. Service type is relevant to demand and need, which means the existence of services (licensed or forecast) that are the same service type as the proposed service will be given more weight in the assessment of supply, demand and need. For example, if an applicant proposes to establish a parent-led early childhood education and care centre, the existence of services nearby of that same type will be more relevant to the expected demand for the proposed service than those of a different type (such as teacher-led early childhood education and care centres).
  5. The following other factors may be relevant to demand, need and parent choice in a particular case:
    1. opening hours, flexibility and convenience;
    2. fees and affordability;
    3. particular service offerings (such as culturally appropriate services or services with a special character or philosophy).

High-level National-Level and Regional Level Information

34. High level national-level and regional-level information about the supply, forecast growth, demand, and need for licensed early childhood services is provided in Appendix B.

Limitations of Information and Assessment of Supply, Demand and Need

35. The information referred to in this Statement relating to supply, demand and need is the best available information that has been identified at the time and is set out above to assist potential applicants to consider the necessary factors in making an application. No warranty is given as to its accuracy at any particular time.

36. Further the purpose of network management is not to protect the commercial interests of any person or to protect licensed service providers from any competition. Granting network approval, including a favourable assessment of demand and need, does not provide any guarantee or assurance that there will be demand for the service. Further the Minister is not required to decline network approval for an applicant merely because the proposed new service will impact an existing licensed or forecast service.

37. If the Minister intends to rely on potentially unfavourable information that was not available to the applicant at the time of the application (eg because the relevant information has since changed or because it is information held by the Ministry), the Minister may provide the applicant with an opportunity to respond to the potentially unfavourable information.

Information Relevant to Other Parts of the Network Management Assessment

38. This section sets out other information relevant to applications for approval, including describing the other information that will likely be relevant to assessing other parts of the statutory criteria and the Minister's approach to those criteria.

39. Where this Statement refers to information that will likely be relevant, this is provided to assist applicants to understand what should be addressed in the application. The Minister may in any particular case consider other relevant information.

Suitability of the Applicant and of Every Individual Involved in the Governance of the Proposed Service

40. The Minister will take into account whether the applicant and every individual involved in the governance of the proposed service are suitable. At a minimum this requires the Minister to consider and determine whether each individual is a fit and proper person, including by considering the Secretary’s assessment provided under section 18(4) of the Act.

41. The information relevant to the Minister’s determination relating to fit and proper persons will be the Secretary’s assessments and any information relevant to those assessments (which is information about the matters listed in section 18 of the Act and in the Regulations).

42. An application for approval will be declined if the Minister determines that the applicant or any individual involved in its governance is not a fit and proper person to operate a licensed early childhood service.

Applicant’s Financial Position

43. The Minister will take into account the applicant’s financial position, including by considering the Secretary’s assessment provided under section 18A(3) of the Act.

44. The information relevant to these assessments will be the Secretary’s assessment, as well as the information that may be considered by the Secretary. This includes whether the applicant has access to, or has a credible plan to obtain access to, sufficient resources to effectively establish and provide the service. It is expected that the Secretary will apply this assessment flexibly so that smaller and less commercial applicants are able to receive a favourable assessment.

45. An application for approval will almost certainly be declined if the Minister determines that the proposed service is not financially viable (eg, because the applicant does not have access to, or does not have a credible plan to obtain access to, sufficient resources to effectively establish and provide the service).

Licensing History of the Applicant and Individuals Involved in the Governance of the Proposed Service

46. The Minister will take into account the licensing history of the applicant and the individuals involved in the governance of the proposed serviced.

47. This may include considering the following information if it is considered relevant:

  1. licenses held by the applicant and any licensed early childhood services of which the relevant individuals have been involved in the governance;
  2. the number of years those licensed early childhood services have operated;
  3. any adverse regulatory decisions, including provisional licenses, suspension, cancellations, or directions.

48. This assessment of this criterion will not have significant weight to the overall decision of whether to grant or decline approval. However, the information above may be relevant and material to other parts of the assessment in particular, to both the fit and proper assessment, and to the capability assessment.

Applicant’s Capability to Effectively Establish and Provide the Service to Which the Application Relates

49. The Minister will take into account the applicant’s capability to effectively establish and provide the service to which the application relates.

50. The information relevant to this assessment is likely to be information about the governance and management of the applicant and proposed service, including the experience, qualifications and skills of the relevant individuals and organisations involved. Relevant qualifications, experience and skills may relate to:

  1. The establishment of the proposed service, including managing the proposed development.
  2. The provision of the proposed service, which may include experience in skills in education (especially early childhood education), cultural competence and business / organisational management. If the proposed service is of a particular type or offering, then the governance and management will need to reflect the skills and experience required to provide that service type or offering. For example, if the applicant proposes to establish a service that will reflect a priority, it will be expected to show that it has the capability to meet that priority effectively.

51. Applicants will be expected to provide credible and reliable information, including in relation to current governance arrangements, rather than only point to future plans to acquire necessary skills.

52. This part of the assessment is particularly important and will receive significant weight in the overall decision of whether to grant or decline approval.

Limitations of Network Approval Decisions

53. A network approval decision and a subsequent decision about whether to grant a licence are independent of each other. If network approval is granted, the fact that a matter was considered as part of that decision should not be taken as an indication about how that matter will be addressed at the licensing stage. When applying for a licence, applicants must demonstrate that all requirements set by the Education (Early Childhood Services) Regulations 2008 and relevant licensing criteria are met or complied with, including premises and facilities and health and safety standards, and overall suitability for use as an education and care centre (if applicable).

Appendix A: Service Type Categories

The following Service Type Categories will be used in assessing the supply, demand and need for licensed early childhood services, as described in the Statement.

Service Type Category

Service Type Sub-Categories Included

Licensed early childhood education and care centres (teacher led)

Kindergartens (also referred to as “free kindergartens”).

Other licensed education and care centres (also referred to as “education and care services” and “casual education and care”).

For the purpose of network management, this category will exclude any excluded service (where this is known).

Licensed early childhood education and care centres (parent led)

Playcentres affiliated to Playcentre Aotearoa.

For the purpose of network management, this category excludes Kōhanga Reo affiliated to Te Kōhanga Reo National Trust.

Licensed home-based education and care services (teacher led)

Also referred to as “Homebased Network”.

Licensed hospital-based education and care services (teacher led)

Excluded service: Kōhanga Reo chartered to Te Kōhanga Reo National Trust Board Reo

Excluded service: other

Excluded early childhood service teaching in te reo Māori, at, or close to full immersion

Excluded early childhood service teaching in te reo Māori majority of time: affiliated to body recognised by Minister

Excluded early childhood service teaching in te reo Māori majority of time: provided by or associated with iwi or Māori organisation recognised by Minister

 

Appendix B: High-level National-level and Regional Level Information

Table One: Number of Licensed Early Childhood Services by Type (as at 7 Oct 2022)

Area Service Type Count of Services %
New Zealand     rounded to 1DP
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 7 0.2%
  Education and Care Service 2,740 59.8%
  Free Kindergarten 664 14.5%
  Home-based Education and Care Service 333 7.3%
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 20 0.4%
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 387 8.5%
  Te Kōhanga Reo 428 9.3%
Grand Total   4,579  
 
Education Region Service Type Count of Services % of Total
      rounded to 1DP
Tai Tokerau   222 4.8%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 105  
  Free Kindergarten 26  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 13  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 1  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 34  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 43  
Auckland   1,506 32.9%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 4  
  Education and Care Service 1,076  
  Free Kindergarten 141  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 155  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 10  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 76  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 44  
Waikato   443 9.7%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 266  
  Free Kindergarten 59  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 20  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 1  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 47  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 50  
Bay of Plenty / Waiariki   409 8.9%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 212  
  Free Kindergarten 48  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 25  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 2  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 28  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 94  
Hawke's Bay / Tairawhiti   293 6.4%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 123  
  Free Kindergarten 42  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 20  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 2  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 18  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 88  
Taranaki / Whanganui / Manawatu   309 6.7%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 140  
  Free Kindergarten 64  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 24  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 36  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 45  
Wellington   484 10.6%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 263  
  Free Kindergarten 109  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 32  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 39  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 41  
Nelson / Marlborough / West Coast   153 3.3%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 82  
  Free Kindergarten 32  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 10  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 1  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 23  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 5  
Canterbury / Chatham Islands   495 10.8%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 1  
  Education and Care Service 338  
  Free Kindergarten 78  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 17  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 1  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 53  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 7  
Otago / Southland   265 5.8%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 2  
  Education and Care Service 135  
  Free Kindergarten 65  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 17  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 2  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 33  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 11  
Grand Total   4,579  

Source: Education Counts | Early Childhood Services | ECE Directory Builder

Accessed on 7 Oct 2022 from https://www.educationcounts.govt.nz/directories/early-childhood-services

Note: Casual Education and Care, Education and Care Service, Free Kindergarten, Playcentre, and Te Kōhanga Reo are types of licensed Early Childhood Education and Care Centres.


Table Two: Number of Licensed Early Childhood Education Places by Type (as at 7 Oct 2022)

Area Service Type Max Licensed Positions % of Total
New Zealand     rounded to 1DP
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 245 0.1%
  Education and Care Service 149,431 67.4%
  Free Kindergarten 26,389 11.9%
  Home-based Education and Care Service 22,015 9.9%
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 464 0.2%
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 10,651 4.8%
  Te Kōhanga Reo 12,364 5.6%
Grand Total   221,559  
       
Education Region Service Type Max Licensed Positions % of Total
      rounded to 1DP
Tai Tokerau   8,620 3.9%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 4,938  
  Free Kindergarten 909  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 780  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 15  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 904  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 1,074  
Auckland   82,454 37.2%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 131  
  Education and Care Service 63,046  
  Free Kindergarten 5,425  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 9,830  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 278  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 2,197  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 1,547  
Waikato   20,911 9.4%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 14,395  
  Free Kindergarten 2,364  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 1,280  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 31  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 1,310  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 1,531  
Bay of Plenty / Waiariki   17,970 8.1%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 11,042  
  Free Kindergarten 1,924  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 1,575  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 50  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 790  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 2,589  
Hawke's Bay / Tairawhiti   11,808 5.3%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 6,106  
  Free Kindergarten 1,671  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 1,410  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 22  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 470  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 2,129  
Taranaki / Whanganui / Manawatu   14,556 6.6%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 7,744  
  Free Kindergarten 2,570  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 1,700  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 1,026  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 1,516  
Wellington   21,633 9.8%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 12,361  
  Free Kindergarten 4,550  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 2,250  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 1,113  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 1,359  
Nelson / Marlborough / West Coast   6,593 3.0%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Education and Care Service 3,658  
  Free Kindergarten 1,427  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 740  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 12  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 652  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 104  
Canterbury / Chatham Islands   24,762 11.2%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 31  
  Education and Care Service 18,934  
  Free Kindergarten 2,934  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 1,270  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 28  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 1,335  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 230  
Otago / Southland   12,252 5.5%
  Teacher-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Casual-Education and Care 83  
  Education and Care Service 7,207  
  Free Kindergarten 2,615  
  Home-based Education and Care Service 1,180  
  Hospital-based Education and Care Service 28  
  Parent/whānau-led licensed early childhood services:    
  Playcentre 854  
  Te Kōhanga Reo 285  
Grand Total   221,559  

Source: Education Counts | Early Childhood Services | ECE Directory Builder

Accessed on 7 Oct 2022 from https://www.educationcounts.govt.nz/directories/early-childhood-services

Note: Casual Education and Care, Education and Care Service, Free Kindergarten, Playcentre, and Te Kōhanga Reo are types of licensed Early Childhood Education and Care Centres.


Table Three: Population and Projected Population Growth

Area Population
(Census 2018)
Population 0-4
(Census 2018)
Projected population
by 2033
Projected 0-4
population by 2033
Projected
population growth
by 2033 (%)
Projected 0–4
population growth
by 2033 (%)
New Zealand 4,699,755 294,921 5,564,400 295,800 18.4% 0.3%
 
Education Region Population
(Census 2018)
Population 0–4
(Census 2018)
Projected population
by 2033
Projected 0–4
population by 2033
Projected population
growth by 2033 (%)
Projected 0–4
population growth
by 2033 (%)
Tai Tokerau 179,079 11,685 215,100 11,800 20.1% 1.0%
Auckland 1,571,718 102,765 2,001,800 109,950 27.4% 7.0%
Waikato 429,849 29,256 524,820 30,010 22.1% 2.6%
Bay of Plenty, Waiariki 349,236 22,836 421,220 22,470 20.6% -1.6%
Hawke’s Bay, Tairawhiti 213,804 14,376 246,300 14,100 15.2% -1.9%
Taranaki, Whanganui, Manawatu 292,827 19,011 331,650 18,250 13.3% -4.0%
Wellington 558,015 32,850 642,650 32,550 15.2% -0.9%
Nelson, Marlborough, West Coast 186,096 9,825 209,050 9,090 12.3% -7.5%
Canterbury and Chatham Islands 594,690 34,575 710,350 34,830 19.4% 0.7%
Otago, Southland 324,405 17,742 376,000 17,070 15.9% -3.8%
 
Source: Statistics New Zealand
Population Dataset: Age and sex by ethnic group (grouped total responses), for census usually resident population counts, 2006, 2013, and 2018 Censuses (RC, TA, SA2, DHB)
Accessed from: https://nzdotstat.stats.govt.nz/wbos/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=TABLECODE8277
Area: Territorial Authority
Age group: Total people – age group, and 0–4 years
Year: 2018
Population Projection Dataset for New Zealand: National population projections, by age and sex, 2022(base)–2073
Accessed from: https://nzdotstat.stats.govt.nz/wbos/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=TABLECODE8610
Note: Released July 2022
Scenario: 50th percentile (median)
Age: Total people, age and 0–4 years
Year: 2033
Population Projection Dataset for Education Regions:
Statistical area 2 population projections, by age and sex, 2018(base)–2048
Accessed from: https://nzdotstat.stats.govt.nz/wbos/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=TABLECODE7991
Note: 2022(base) projection  data is only available at National level, and therefore Education Region projected population data has been provided from Census 2018
Area: Territorial Authority
Projection: Medium
Year at 30 June: 2033
Age: Total people, age and 0-4 years
 

Notes:
5 year olds can participate in Early Childhood Education up until their 6th birthday however, as the majority of five-year-olds in New Zealand go to school, we have not included five-year-olds in our projections.

Data exported at Territorial Authority level is grouped into Education Regions. Waikato Education Region excludes Taupo District and Rotorua District, and includes the Ruapehu District (which crosses across Education Regions). Taranaki/Whanganui/Manawatu Education Region excludes Ruapehu District. Bay of Plenty/Waiariki Education Region includes Taupo District and Rotorua District. Wellington Education Region includes Tararua and Horowhenua. Nelson, Marlborough, West Coast Education Region includes Kaikoura District. Canterbury and Chathams Education Region excludes Kaikoura.

Where a person reported more than one ethnic group, they have been counted in each applicable group. Population outside of Territorial Authorities is excluded from Education Region breakdowns.


Table Four: Population and Projected Population Growth by Ethnicity

Area Ethnicity Population
(2018 Census)
Population 0–4
(2018 Census)
Projected population
by 2033
Projected 0–4
population by 2033
   
New Zealand Māori 775,836 81,207 1,068,900 94,400    
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 3,355,917 197,556 3,759,700 196,100    
  Pacific 381,642 42,255 563,600 53,800    
  Asian 707,598 53,832 1,143,700 63,700    

 

Education Region Ethnicity Population
(2018 Census)
Population 0–4
(2018 Census)
Projected population
by 2033
Projected 0–4
population by 2033
Projected
population growth
by 2033 (%)
Projected 0–4
population growth
by 2033 (%)
Tai Tokerau Māori 64,461 6,585 85,810 7,340 33.1% 11.5%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 133,095 8,028 161,400 8,960 21.3% 11.6%
  Pacific 7,542 1,080 12,860 1,485 70.5% 37.5%
  Asian 7,038 654 13,730 995 95.1% 52.1%
Auckland Māori 181,194 18,990 246,400 20,950 36.0% 10.3%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 858,132 51,573 933,300 48,580 8.8% -5.8%
  Pacific 243,966 25,620 339,900 30,110 39.3% 17.5%
  Asian 442,674 32,214 774,100 40,220 74.9% 24.9%
Waikato Māori 102,828 11,103 140,920 12,890 37.0% 16.1%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 323,166 20,883 380,880 21,750 17.9% 4.2%
  Pacific 19,815 2,619 33,090 3,665 67.0% 39.9%
  Asian 42,240 3,645 78,760 5,360 86.5% 47.1%
Bay of Plenty, Waiariki Māori 101,784 10,425 135,350 11,740 33.0% 12.6%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 262,287 16,002 315,230 16,310 20.2% 1.9%
  Pacific 12,201 1,593 19,970 2,400 63.7% 50.7%
  Asian 24,072 2,103 45,660 3,580 89.7% 70.2%
Hawke’s Bay, Tairawhiti Māori 70,047 7,278 95,220 8,310 35.9% 14.2%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 154,638 9,411 170,920 9,100 10.5% -3.3%
  Pacific 11,481 1,509 18,090 1,970 57.6% 30.6%
  Asian 9,570 816 19,490 1,520 103.7% 86.3%
Taranaki, Whanganui, Manawatu Māori 59,955 6,525 85,520 7,800 42.6% 19.5%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 242,991 15,219 265,920 14,550 9.4% -4.4%
  Pacific 10,071 1,386 16,670 1,855 65.5% 33.8%
  Asian 18,456 1,764 34,230 2,500 85.5% 41.7%
Wellington Māori 84,813 8,469 115,850 9,880 36.6% 16.7%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 428,211 24,231 474,350 23,630 10.8% -2.5%
  Pacific 45,015 4,674 59,010 5,375 31.1% 15.0%
  Asian 67,428 5,265 114,340 7,140 69.6% 35.6%
Nelson, Marlborough, West Coast Māori 20,718 2,232 28,910 2,660 39.5% 19.2%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 169,125 8,781 188,200 8,270 11.3% -5.8%
  Pacific 4,026 444 6,600 600 63.9% 35.1%
  Asian 8,199 720 15,560 1,035 89.8% 43.8%
Canterbury and Chatham Islands Māori 55,884 6,096 83,660 7,685 49.7% 26.1%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 498,171 27,960 568,750 27,735 14.2% -0.8%
  Pacific 18,894 2,358 30,130 3,040 59.5% 28.9%
  Asian 66,369 5,184 116,880 6,880 76.1% 32.7%
Otago, Southland Māori 34,134 3,495 50,460 4,230 47.8% 21.0%
  European or Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) 286,080 15,456 319,100 14,740 11.5% -4.6%
  Pacific 8,631 975 13,510 1,240 56.5% 27.2%
  Asian 21,543 1,470 41,520 2,435 92.7% 65.6%
Total: 5,220,945 374,835 6,650,250 410,515  
 
Source: Statistics New Zealand
Population Dataset: Age and sex by ethnic group (grouped total responses), for census usually resident population counts, 2006, 2013, and 2018 Censuses (RC, TA, SA2, DHB)
  Accessed from: https://nzdotstat.stats.govt.nz/WBOS/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=TABLECODE8277
  Area: Territorial Authority
  Age group: Total people – age group and 0–4 years
  Year: 2018
  Ethnic group: European, Other, Maori, Pacific Peoples, Asian
Projected Population Dataset for New Zealand:
National ethnic population projections, by age and sex, 2018(base)-2043 update
  Accessed from: https://nzdotstat.stats.govt.nz/WBOS/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=TABLECODE8613
  Note: Released September 2022
  Year at 30 June: 2033
  Scenario: 50th [percentile] (Median)
  Age: Total people, age and 0–4 years
Projected Population Dataset for Education Regions: Subnational ethnic population projections, by age and sex, 2018(base)–2043
  Accessed from: https://nzdotstat.stats.govt.nz/wbos/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=TABLECODE8606
  Year at 30 June: 2033
  Scenario: 50th percentile (median)
  Age: Total people, age and 0–4 years

Notes:
Five-year-olds can participate in Early Childhood Education up until their 6th birthday however, as the majority of five-year-olds in New Zealand go to school, we have not included five-year-olds in our projections.

Data exported at Territorial Authority level is grouped into Education Regions. Waikato Education Region excludes Taupo District and Rotorua District, and includes the Ruapehu District (which crosses across Education Regions). Taranaki/Whanganui/Manawatu Education Region excludes Ruapehu District. Bay of Plenty/Waiariki Education Region includes Taupo District and Rotorua District. Wellington Education Region includes Tararua District and Horowhenua District. Nelson, Marlborough, West Coast Education Region includes Kaikoura District. Canterbury and Chathams Education Region excludes Kaikoura District.

Population figures for Other Ethnicity (including New Zealander) have been added to European to compare with population projections.

Where a person reported more than one ethnic group, they have been counted in each applicable group. Population outside of Territorial Authorities is excluded from Education Region breakdowns.

Dated this 24th day of November 2022.

Hon CHRIS HIPKINS, Minister of Education.

Notes

1 Service type categories are defined in Appendix A.

2The Ministry may develop a process for determining whether a proposed excluded service is recognised as having reached a stage equivalent to network approval.